Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Gévora		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	4.45	2.92	1.82
	4.55	3.07	1.84
	6.82	1.26	7.20	Watch
	4.5	2.8	1.85
	4.66	3	1.81
	4.5	3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.82)	2.68 ↓ (3.25)	2.73 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
21.6%

Draw
39.6%

Villanovense
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.9%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.8%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanovense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villanovense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gévora - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

Gévora has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villanovense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gévora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villanovense has had a series of away games.

In this match, Villanovense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gévora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gevora	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8
8	Villanovense	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.01.26	Gévora - Llerenense	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Gévora - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Gévora	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gévora - Montijo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Moralo - Gévora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.01.26	Villanovense - Calamonte	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Villanovense	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jaraíz - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Jerez - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cabeza del Buey - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.09.25	Villanovense - Gévora	3:2

Gévora - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide