Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Puebla de la Calzada		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.82	2.18
	3.49	3.04	2.12
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.53	2.92	2.1
	3.6	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.11 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla de la Calzada
26.2%

Draw
30.9%

Villanovense
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

30.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla de la Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Puebla de la Calzada - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Soltero M. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Angelito ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Piti ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Puebla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Villanovense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Villanovense has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Puebla	5	2	2	1	8:4	4	8
8	Villanovense	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pueblonuevo - Puebla de la Calzada	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Montijo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTLT
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Jaraíz - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Jerez - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cabeza del Buey - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villanovense - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Badajoz - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.09.25	Villanovense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1

Puebla de la Calzada - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide