Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Jaraíz		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.25	2.97	3.28
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.22	2.9	3.28
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraíz
40.8%

Draw
31.2%

Villanovense
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Villanovense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Jaraíz - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Villanovense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jaraíz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Villanovense	8	5	1	2	14:5	9	16
13	Jaraiz	8	2	2	4	12:12	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.01.26	Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Jaraíz - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Jaraíz - Pueblonuevo	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLWL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.25	Jerez - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cabeza del Buey - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villanovense - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Badajoz - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Villanovense - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWLT

Jaraíz - Villanovense