Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Moralo		Gévora

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.15
	1.76	3.44	4.38
	1.04	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.7	3.32	4.74
	1.75	3.4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	2.95 ↓ (3.4)	3.79 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moralo
50.4%

Draw
27.9%

Gévora
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Moralo - Gévora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Sanchez D. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Moralo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gévora's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Moralo is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Calamonte - Moralo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Jaraíz - Moralo	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Villanovense - Moralo	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Moralo - Cabeza del Buey	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLWL
- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Gévora - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villafranca - Gévora	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gévora - Don Benito	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Santa Amalia - Gévora	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gévora - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLTT

Moralo - Gévora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide