Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 5
Canada	11:30	beIN Connect
Czech Republic	17:30	Strike, Strike
Finland	18:30	Veikkaus TV
Poland	17:30	Canal+ Extra 3, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	18:30	Sport 1
Usa	11:30	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Górnik Zabrze		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.52	4.2
	1.91	3.67	4	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.92	3.52	4.04	Watch
	1.78	3.33	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	3.44 ↑ (3.34)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
49.5%

Draw
27%

Korona Kielce
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Górnik Zabrze will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Ambros L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 5. Resta P. 6. Pieczek M. 71. Dlugosz W. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 9. Davidovic S. 14. Stepinski M. 7. Blanik D. (C)
Substitutes
4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 61. Sacek M. 13. Sadilek L. 21. Sauer M. 5. Szczesniak K. 67. Zmrzly O.	70. Antonin 77. Cebula M. 21. Ciszek K. 86. Gustafson S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 12. Mikielewicz M. (G) 11. Nikolov V. 10. Nono 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K. 37. Zwozny H.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Matuszewski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Janza E. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
64', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
64', Olkowski P. ↓, Sacek M. ↑,
64', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
70', Svetlin T. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Janicki R. ⚽, Zmrzly O. (A),
76', Ambros L. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
78', Davidovic S. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
78', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
80', Resta P. 🟨,
82', Liseth S. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
84', Stepinski M. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
84', Dlugosz W. ↓, Antonin ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 3.

Górnik Zabrze is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Korona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Górnik Zabrze is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	8	3	1	21:11	10	27
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14:18	-4	18

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 16.37% Korona Kielce: 1.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Korona Kielce - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 23.74%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.04.26	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
08.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.26	Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Górnik Zabrze - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.03.26	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWT
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.04.26	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
24.05.25	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	1:1
01.12.24	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	2:4
19.02.24	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	3:1
12.08.23	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
06.04.23	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	1:1
18.09.22	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	1:2

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