The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Korona Kielce 49.5%
Draw 28.5%
Arka Gdynia 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
26.2%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
24.5%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
20%
30%
Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Arka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 71. Dlugosz W. 88. Svetlin T. 8. Remacle M. 6. Pieczek M. 9. Davidovic S. 7. Blanik D. (C) 14. Stepinski M.
77. Weglarz D. (G) 3. Szota S. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 11. Kocyla D. 8. Sidibe A. 35. Jakubczyk K. 7. Kubiak O. 21. Szysz P. 19. Gutkovskis V. 37. Kerk S.
Substitutes
70. Antonin 77. Cebula M. 21. Ciszek K. 86. Gustafson S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 3. Matuszewski K. 11. Nikolov V. 10. Nono 24. Smolarczyk B. 37. Zwozny H.
9. Gaprindashvili T. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 23. Hermoso K. 2. Navarro M. 10. Nguiamba A. 27. Oliveira J. 31. Rusyn N. 22. Rzuchowski M. 4. Zator D.
Coaches
Zielinski J.
Szwarga D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Pieczek M. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Davidovic S. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Stepinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sidibe A. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
46', Kubiak O. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
46', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
59', Szota S. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
70', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
74', Rubezic S. 🟨,
74', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
76', Stepinski M. ↓, Antonin ↑,
76', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
80', Kerk S. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
84', Davidovic S. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Korona is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Arka: Perea L.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Finland
Poland
Usa
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Dziekonski X. (G) 
Rubezic S. 
Sotiriou K. 
Resta P. 
Svetlin T. 
Remacle M. 
Davidovic S. 
Sidibe A. 
Gutkovskis V. 
Kerk S. 
Gustafson S. 
Nikolov V. 
Gaprindashvili T. 
Nguiamba A. 
Oliveira J. 
Rusyn N. 
Zator D. 
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