Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 26

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Widzew Łódź		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.3	3.15	3	Watch
	2.42	3.2	3.25
	2.39	3.19	3.17	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.34	3.08	3.12	Watch
	2.03	3.07	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.03)	3.11 ↑ (3.07)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
40.4%

Draw
29.9%

Górnik Zabrze
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Widzew Łódź will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dragowski B. (G) 4. Zyro M. (C) 25. Wisniewski P. 53. Kapuadi S. 91. Krajewski M. 21. Lerager L. 6. Shehu J. 17. Cheng C. 8. Kornvig E. 99. Bergier S. 10. Alvarez F.	1. Lubik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 13. Sadilek L. 8. Hellebrand P. 18. Ambros L. 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S. 67. Zmrzly O.
Substitutes
22. Bukari O. 7. Fornalczyk M. 30. Ilic V. (G) 2. Isaac C. 98. Kikolski M. (G) 3. Kozlovsky S. 19. Pawlowski B. 18. Selahi L. 14. Visus R. 9. Zeqiri A.	4. Bochniewicz P. 11. Domingues B. 28. Donio B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 14. Kubicki J. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 15. Massimo R. 92. Pietryga P. (G) 77. Rupanov B. 21. Sauer M. 5. Szczesniak K.
Coaches
Vukovic A.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sadilek L. 🟨,
28', Cheng C. ↓, Kozlovsky S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lerager L. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
64', Bergier S. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
64', Krajewski M. ↓, Isaac C. ↑,
66', Zmrzly O. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
76', Sadilek L. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
81', Khlan M. ↓, Domingues B. ↑,
82', Josema ↓, Bochniewicz P. ↑,
83', Alvarez F. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Widzew could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Widzew: Czyz S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Josema (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Widzew Lodz: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19:9	10	25
13	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13:13	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.03.26	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.03.26	GKS Katowice - Widzew Łódź	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Widzew Łódź - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.03.26	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
04.03.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.26	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.25	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	3:2
27.04.25	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	0:0
27.10.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:2
25.02.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	3:1
18.08.23	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	1:1
13.05.23	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	2:3
28.10.22	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	3:0

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