Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.1
	1.8	3.55	4.05	Watch
	1.75	3.72	4.49
	1.74	3.73	4.37	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.69	3.62	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.94)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	4.23 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
52.7%

Draw
25.5%

Odra Opole
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Odra Opole (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Odra Opole (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Odra Opole (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Górnik Łęczna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Odra Opole (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 71. Nowogonski K. 14. Szabaciuk F. 29. Gucek L. 3. Holownia M. 19. Biedrzycki B. 11. Tkacz D. 8. Kryeziu E. 10. Deja A. (C) 38. Myszor J. 7. Wolsztynski R.	23. Wojcik A. (G) 7. Milos M. 3. Piroch J. 47. Bialowas M. 22. Spychala M. (C) 6. Pochciol J. 20. Tront D. 25. Palacz K. 70. Kobusinski S. 99. Sukiennicki O. 32. Feliks M.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. . Mundry N. 88. Osipiuk O. 9. Paryzek P. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 17. Spacil B. 2. Stadnicki J. 37. Stepniak J. 99. Wilk K. (G)	4. Chrzanowski A. 30. Haluch A. (G) 26. Kendzia F. 33. Kupczyk F. 18. Mida S. 11. Perez J. 14. Prikryl T. 19. Przybylko K. 8. Ramos L.
Coaches
Shatalov Y.	Plewnia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Feliks M. ⚽, Palacz K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Deja A. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
57', Kobusinski S. 🟨,
58', Tront D. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
58', Pochciol J. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
64', Tkacz D. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
64', Myszor J. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
66', Kobusinski S. ↓, Mida S. ↑,
76', Milos M. ↓, Kendzia F. ↑,
76', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
80', Palacz K. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Mida S. ⚽,
90+5', Holownia M. 🟨,
90+9', Spychala M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Odra Opole may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Górnik Łęczna is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Leczna: 6.76% Odra Opole: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7:9	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
10.05.26	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik Łęczna - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTWW
- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
11.05.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Odra Opole - Polonia Bytom	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Odra Opole - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.11.25	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
27.04.25	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
18.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	2:2
03.05.24	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	1:0
04.11.23	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:3
01.04.23	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
27.08.22	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	4:1

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