Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Krumplewski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.4
	2.62	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.73	3.56	2.49
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.4
	2.68	3.36	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.79)	3.35 ↑ (3.26)	2.51 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
35.4%

Draw
27.7%

Chrobry Głogów
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 14. Szabaciuk F. 19. Biedrzycki B. 71. Nowogonski K. 10. Deja A. 11. Tkacz D. 3. Holownia M. 30. Akhmedov B. 22. Orlik K. 17. Spacil B.	99. Arndt D. (G) 29. Tupaj P. 18. Mazur M. 21. Kozajda M. 28. Lis J. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 23. Lewkot S. 17. Ibe-Torti K. 30. Bartlewicz S. 10. Janczukowicz P. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
29. Gucek L. 95. Janaszek F. 88. Osipiuk O. 9. Paryzek P. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 7. Wolsztynski R.	5. Bak R. 7. Bonecki S. 95. Lenarcik P. (G) 33. Malczuk N. 9. Ozimek M. 72. Szablowski J. 96. Szarek P. 31. Tworzydlo K. 44. Zarowny A.
Coaches
Shatalov Y.	Becella L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Strozik S. 🟨,
58', Janczukowicz P. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Deja A. ⚽,
70', Tkacz D. ↓, Janaszek F. ↑,
71', Mandrysz R. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
72', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Bonecki S. ↑,
74', Spacil B. 🟨,
77', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Zarowny A. ↑,
77', Tupaj P. ↓, Szablowski J. ↑,
78', Spacil B. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
90+1', Deja A. 🟨,
90+2', Janaszek F. ↓, Osipiuk O. ↑,
90+7', Orlik K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Leczna: 6.76% Chrobry Glogow: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chrobry Glogow	9	3	3	3	11:8	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stal Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Górnik Łęczna - Wieczysta Kraków	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLT
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	2:0
21.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0
06.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
26.02.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
11.08.23	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	3:1
27.05.23	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
30.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	0:2

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