Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Warsaw		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.4
	1.6	4.05	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.25	4.99
	1.61	4.3	4.79	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.6
	1.58	3.88	4.81
	1.62	3.47	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	3.92 ↑ (3.47)	4.66 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
57%

Draw
23.4%

Górnik Łęczna
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 24. Terpilowski E. 30. Cisse S. 16. Budnicki J. 99. Durmus I. 7. Vega D. 23. Skrabb S. 26. Gnaase D. 44. Piotrowski B. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 14. Szabaciuk F. 29. Gucek L. 3. Holownia M. 71. Nowogonski K. 10. Deja A. (C) 30. Akhmedov B. 19. Biedrzycki B. 38. Myszor J. 11. Tkacz D. 17. Spacil B.
Substitutes
20. Brasido D. 77. Buksa A. 5. Hoxhallari E. 90. Kostorz K. 3. Salihu H. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P. 19. Vasin N. 8. Wojciechowski O.	8. Kryeziu E. 23. Ogaga D. 88. Osipiuk O. 9. Paryzek P. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 37. Stepniak J. 7. Wolsztynski R.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Shatalov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Skrabb S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Durmus I. 🟨,
56', Myszor J. 🟨,
64', Spacil B. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
66', Cisse S. ↓, Salihu H. ↑,
66', Piotrowski B. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
69', Wojciechowski O. 🟨,
76', Skrabb S. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
76', Dadok R. ↓, Brasido D. ↑,
79', Biedrzycki B. 🟨,
79', Tkacz D. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
79', Nowogonski K. ↓, Ogaga D. ↑,
81', Terpilowski E. ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,
84', Akhmedov B. 🟨,
85', Paryzek P. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Zjawinski L. ⚽,
90+3', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Holownia M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Polonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Polonia is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Leczna: 6.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
04.05.26	Polonia Bytom - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
06.04.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
01.05.26	Górnik Łęczna - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
31.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
21.02.25	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
10.08.24	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	3:1
12.05.24	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	0:2
11.11.23	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	0:0

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