Match Info

Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	5.5	5	1.42	Watch
	6.1	4.75	1.41
	6.83	5.16	1.39
	6.75	4.65	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (6.09)	4.89 ↑ (4.7)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
14.8%

Draw
19%

Wisła Kraków
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

19.9%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

19.2%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Górnik Łęczna aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Wisła (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Olszak D. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 5. Broda M. 74. Kruk K. 23. Ogaga D. 11. Tkacz D. 10. Deja A. (C) 30. Akhmedov B. 22. Orlik K. 18. Spiaczka B. 17. Spacil B.	1. Broda K. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 29. Grujcic D. 97. Biedrzycki W. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 41. Duda K. 8. Carbo M. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 10. Duarte F. 9. Rodado A. (C)
Substitutes
6. David Abbott G. 73. Doba S. 15. Krawczyk S. 13. Kroczek D. 20. Malamis P. 88. Osipiuk O. 86. Rafa Santos 7. Traore S. 99. Wilk K. (G)	5. Colley J. 34. Giger R. 12. Igbekeme J. 57. Kawala S. 50. Kutwa M. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E. 19. Sukiennicki O.
Coaches
Stolarczyk M.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Spiaczka B. ⚽, Tkacz D. (A),
37', Kruk K. 🟨,
41', Spacil B. 🟨,
41', Krzyzanowski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Orlik K. 🟨,
64', Krzyzanowski J. ↓, Giger R. ↑,
64', Carbo M. ↓, Omic E. ↑,
68', Orlik K. 🟨,
73', Ogaga D. 🟨,
76', Spiaczka B. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Rodado A. (Pen),
80', Spiaczka B. ↓, Doba S. ↑,
86', Tkacz D. 🟨,
86', Spacil B. ↓, Kroczek D. ↑,
87', Kuziemka M. ↓, Kawala S. ↑,
87', Duarte F. ↓, Sukiennicki O. ↑,
90+2', Deja A. 🟨,
90+3', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Nikaj A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Grujcic D. ⚽, Omic E. (A),
90+10', Tkacz D. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
90+10', Ogaga D. ↓, Krawczyk S. ↑,
90+10', Akhmedov B. ↓, Osipiuk O. ↑,
90+13', Grujcic D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Górnik Łęczna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wisła is the clear favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
14.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
21.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLTTT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
13.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:4 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.08.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Wisła Kraków - Śląsk Wrocław	5:0 ✺
19.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.03.25	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
22.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:0
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
Polish Division 1
10.12.23	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	4:0
22.07.23	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	2:2
03.06.23	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	0:3
Club Friendly
25.11.22	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	Canceled

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