Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Wieczysta Kraków		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.75	6.75
	1.29	5.3	8.2	Watch
	1.3	5.75	8.52
	1.09	8.54	25.74	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.29	5.1	9
	1.58	4.15	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)	5.38 ↑ (4.15)	9.8 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
72.4%

Draw
17.8%

Górnik Łęczna
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.6%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wieczysta Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: Wieczysta Kraków will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wieczysta Kraków will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 89. Mikolajewski D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 8. Swedrowski T. 19. Trabka M. 30. Donkor J. 27. Carlitos 77. Semedo L. 21. Rafa Lopes	1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 6. David Abbott G. 88. Osipiuk O. 23. Ogaga D. 86. Rafa Santos 8. Kryeziu E. (C) 10. Deja A. 17. Spacil B. 73. Doba S. 22. Orlik K.
Substitutes
18. Feiertag S. 7. Gajos M. 3. Goralski J. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. . Piazon L. 11. Sandoval D. 28. Soberka K. (G) 44. Szymonowicz D.	30. Akhmedov B. 99. Bojanczyk K. 5. Broda M. 15. Krawczyk S. 77. Litwa M. 12. Olszak D. (G) 18. Spiaczka B. 11. Tkacz D. 7. Traore S.
Coaches
Cecherz P.	Stolarczyk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Rafa Santos (Own goal),
34', Pazdan M. 🟨,
42', Carlitos ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rafa Santos ↓, Spiaczka B. ↑,
63', Donkor J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
63', Rafa Lopes ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
66', Doba S. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Tkacz D. ⚽,
75', Swedrowski T. ↓, Goralski J. ↑,
75', Trabka M. ↓, Piazon L. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Feiertag S. ⚽, Semedo L. (A),
85', Deja A. ↓, Bojanczyk K. ↑,
85', Spacil B. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
90+3', Feiertag S. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Bednarczyk J. (Pen),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Wieczysta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Wieczysta is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Wieczysta will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
19.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6 ✺
11.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
27.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
21.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTTL

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