Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Saka S. (Tur)


	Erzurumspor		Tuzlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.89	3.44	4.96
	1.8	3.44	4.96
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.82	3.24	4.56
	1.81	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.81)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	4.57 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
51.4%

Draw
28.3%

Tuzlaspor
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

27.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tuzlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 22. Yumlu M. 3. Kirtay Y. 7. Koc S. 25. Estrela 8. Akgun S. 19. Budak U. 18. Sert O. 10. Tozlu E. 20. Ozhan M.	99. Yurt K. (G) 33. Akkan G. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 27. Asatekin S. 3. Awuku P. 12. Ba M. 19. Ciftci H. 18. Novikovas A. 28. Togui W. 17. Mamba S.
Substitutes
23. Bayrak C. 6. Karaca A. 9. Mevlutoglu H. 14. Ozfesli A. 17. Rosheuvel M. 4. Sasi F. 24. Shala H. 99. Varlik G. 13. Yagci O. (G) 16. Yavas M. E.	10. Akarslan M. 44. Bangoura S. 77. Bas S. 22. Cinar Z. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 11. Kose A. 24. Koyuncu E. (G) 7. Stankovski L. 90. Tasdemir B. A. 21. Umar A.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Irtegun B.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Erzurumspor is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
10.03.24	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Altay - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWT
- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
10.03.24	Kocaelispor - Tuzlaspor	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
26.02.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Tuzlaspor	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Adanaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
28.10.23	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1
04.02.23	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:2
03.09.22	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	4:1
20.04.22	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1
22.12.21	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
26.10.16	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:4

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