Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Güemes		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.2
	2.55	2.7	3.2
	2.46	2.73	3.68
	2.35	2.6	3.4
	2.45	2.72	3.55
	2.41	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.68)	2.71 ↓ (2.83)	3.4 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
38.2%

Draw
34.4%

Deportivo Morón
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

32.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Güemes - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Deportivo Morón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Güemes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Güemes - Deportivo Flandria	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	San Martín de San Juan - Güemes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLTT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Morón - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Morón	2:2 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Morón - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Deportivo Morón - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0
15.11.21	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	1:2
18.07.21	Deportivo Morón - Güemes	0:2

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