Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Alvarado		Güemes

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.88	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.75
	2.58	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.77	2.9	2.92
	2.65	2.79	3.00	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.8
	2.61	2.83	2.83
	2.7	3.15	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	2.84 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
34.9%

Draw
32.3%

Güemes
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

29.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Alvarado - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 8. Bolivar A. 6. Fernandez T. 11. Gobetto J. (C) 3. Gorgerino C. 5. Mansilla M. 7. Martinez E. 10. Miori M. 2. Silva K. 9. Susvielles J.	1. Pezzini N. (G) 9. Albertengo M. 11. Alvarez M. 8. Chiozza L. 10. Federico T. 6. Gonzalez F. 5. Juarez N. 4. Juarez W. 3. Lopez F. 2. Monserrat N. 7. Sala S. G.
Substitutes
15. Aleo A. 19. Amilivia T. 17. Becker D. 20. Bolzicco T. 16. Borgnino M. 18. Castellano A. 12. Henricot F. (G) 14. Ortale M. 13. Werro V.	17. Arevalos N. 14. Bettini M. 18. Gerez M. 13. Kruger J. 12. Leguiza M. (G) 16. Oyola A. I. 20. Palacios P. 15. Papa G. 19. Veliz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Alvarez M. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
66', Juarez W. 🟨,
67', Bolivar A. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
67', Martinez E. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
73', Sala S. G. ↓, Palacios P. ↑,
75', Miori M. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
75', Susvielles J. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
85', Chiozza L. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Aleo A. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Monserrat N. ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.25	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Club Almagro - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Alvarado - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Alvarado - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTTL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.25	Güemes - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
27.07.25	Deportivo Maipú - Güemes	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Tristán Suárez - Güemes	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.25	Güemes - Alvarado	1:1
17.08.24	Güemes - Alvarado	2:1
31.03.24	Alvarado - Güemes	0:0
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1
12.06.22	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1

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