Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 35

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Güemes		Talleres de Remedios de Escalada

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	5.5
	1.72	3.1	5.25
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.73	3.24	5.86
	1.87	3.13	4.76	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.8
	1.62	3.42	5.77
	1.75	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.35)	3.24 ↑ (2.8)	5.37 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
54%

Draw
28.7%

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talleres de Remedios de Escalada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Remedios de Escalada than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talleres de Remedios de Escalada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.9%	5.4%	2.7%

Güemes - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 34 - 91.9%). Talleres Escalada will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Güemes: 83.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pezzini N. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Rois A. 6. Faccioli E. 3. Lopez F. 8. Belleggia L. 5. Papa G. 11. Gerez M. 7. Brylko H. 9. Alvarez M. 10. Torres F.	1. Tello D. (G) 4. Sanchez L. 2. Monserrat N. 6. Achucarro D. 3. Malvacio N. 14. Gallardo S. 5. Palmieri N. 10. Benitez A. 11. Denis J. 8. Nakache D. 20. Rivero G.
Substitutes
16. Alarcon G. 13. Berra T. 14. Broggi C. 17. Carruega S. 15. Juarez W. 12. Mendonca J. (G) 20. Santa Cruz I. 19. Vega C. 18. Veliz D.	17. Asprea T. 12. Casoli M. (G) 19. Ciavarelli I. . Donato M. 9. Molina N. 15. Nelle S. 13. Romero P. . Ulayar F.
Coaches
Vazquez M.	Gomez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gerez M. ⚽,
36', Gallardo S. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Benitez A. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Nakache D. ⚽,
60', Alvarez M. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
60', Brylko H. ↓, Santa Cruz I. ↑,
65', Lopez F. ↓, Broggi C. ↑,
69', Nakache D. ↓, Nelle S. ↑,
69', Denis J. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
72', Belleggia L. ↓, Carruega S. ↑,
72', Gerez M. ↓, Alarcon G. ↑,
72', Achucarro D. 🟥,
80', Malvacio N. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Papa G. ⚽,
90+1', Carruega S. 🟨,
90+4', Papa G. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Güemes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.09.24	Quilmes - Güemes	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Güemes - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWL
- Talleres de Remedios de Escalada
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Racing de Córdoba - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Tristán Suárez - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.05.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Güemes	0:0

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