Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.75	5.25	Watch
	1.92	2.78	4.75	Watch
	2	2.9	5.04
	1.09	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.94	2.78	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.17)	2.44 ↓ (2.55)	4.25 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
46.7%

Draw
33.9%

San Miguel
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

36.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

35.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Güemes - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - San Miguel (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Bettini M. 2. Monserrat N. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Arevalo T. 5. Griffa E. 8. Juarez N. 11. Veliz D. 10. Gerez M. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Palacios P.	1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Kippes A. 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Ferrero J. 7. Antunes I. 8. Juarez J. 5. Cravero T. 11. Salto C. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Dening E.
Substitutes
18. Albertengo M. 19. Alvarez M. 15. Chiozza L. 17. Federico T. 14. Kruger J. 20. Lesman G. 16. Oyola A. I. 13. Papa G. 12. Pezzini N. (G)	13. Cazula A. 15. Corda S. 14. D. Renteria 16. Gordillo T. 18. Jerez T. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 17. Mosca C. 20. Nasta B. 19. Sosa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gerez M. ⚽, Juarez N. (A),
7', Salto C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Veliz D. ↓, Chiozza L. ↑,
71', Sala S. G. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
73', Salto C. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
73', Dening E. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
73', Ferrero J. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
73', Juarez J. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
83', Palacios P. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
90+1', Gerez M. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
90+2', Cravero T. ↓, Gordillo T. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Güemes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.25	Quilmes - Güemes	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Güemes - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Güemes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWL
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.25	San Miguel - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	San Miguel - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Los Andes - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Quilmes - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.25	San Miguel - Güemes	1:1
21.09.24	Güemes - San Miguel	2:0
04.05.24	San Miguel - Güemes	1:0

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