Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.82	3.25	Watch
	2.15	2.90	3.50
	2.48	2.78	3.05	Watch
	2.58	2.91	3.21
	2.62	2.6	3.28	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.46	2.68	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.35)	2.78 ↑ (2.64)	3.2 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
37.7%

Draw
33.4%

Deportivo Maipú
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

35.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

36.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Güemes - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 6. Oneto T. 3. Lazza E. 11. Gerez M. 5. Baier G. 7. Juarez W. 8. Benitez M. 10. Veliz D. 9. Sala S. G.	1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 8. Bonfigli M. 5. Mansilla G. 11. Gobetto J. 10. Eggel M. 9. Giacone J. 7. Saccone F.
Substitutes
19. Amilivia T. 14. Arnay R. 18. Esposito G. . Farrera S. . Godoy F. . Juarez J. 12. Martinez L. (G) 13. Melillan F. 17. Pugliese G. . Quiroz M. 15. Rizzi F.	19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 17. Nazar J. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 20. Rivarola F. 18. Silva T. . Vera A. 16. Vera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Juarez W. 🟨,
36', Faggioli L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Bordon A. ↓, Arnay R. ↑,
61', Pugliese G. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
67', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
68', Melillan F. ↓, Rizzi F. ↑,
77', Juarez W. ↓, Baier G. ↑,
77', Amilivia T. ↓, Farrera S. ↑,
78', Bonfigli M. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
89', Gobetto J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
89', de la Reta J. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Aguero Gimenez A. R. (Own goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Güemes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Maipú is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Güemes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.26	Club Almagro - Güemes	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Güemes - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Temperley - Deportivo Maipú	0:5 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.25	Deportivo Maipú - Güemes	1:1
23.03.25	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:1
07.09.24	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	4:0
22.04.24	Deportivo Maipú - Güemes	1:1
03.07.22	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1

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