Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Gżira United		Sirens

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.25
	1.33	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.54
	1.36	4.8	7.54
	1.29	5.1	7.7
	1.32	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	4.83 ↓ (5)	7.49 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
68.8%

Draw
18.9%

Sirens
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

13.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sirens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gżira United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sirens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zarkov D. (G) 4. Borg A. 2. Carlos Chaba 7. Lubanzadio Aldama B. T. 11. Macula 9. Marcelo Dias 98. Mendonza J. 20. Romero F. 19. Sane A. 8. Scerri Z. (C) 93. Thiaguinho	1. Cassar A. (G) 5. Boakye Owusu P. 26. Borg S. 17. Charles A. 22. Cini A. (C) 29. Donsu K. 99. Guylherme N. 31. Jackson K. D. 18. Mohammed Akadom H. 8. Pulis N. 3. Tiago Bettim
Substitutes
80. Abdilla C. (G) 6. Azizi B. 47. Borg B. 23. Ewertton 13. Falzon R. 14. Mifsud D. 29. Pace D. 18. Taliana N. 74. Wilkson	96. Agius D. 12. Akpan I. E. (G) 23. Asare B. 10. Boateng F. 6. Cachia R. 11. Cini A. 92. Dalli C. 77. Grima H. 24. Grima M. 32. Moro M. 9. Perea J.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	D'Amato S.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gżira won 4.

Gżira is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sirens has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gżira is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gżira won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gżira won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
01.10.23	Gudja United - Gżira United	1:6 ✺
26.09.23	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Balzan - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Floriana - Gżira United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLLL
- Sirens FC
Maltese Premier League
01.10.23	Sirens - Hamrun Spartans	0:4 ✺
27.09.23	Marsaxlokk - Sirens	3:1 ✺
22.09.23	Sirens - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Valletta - Sirens	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.09.23	Mosta - Sirens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
12.02.23	Gżira United - Sirens	1:0
09.10.22	Sirens - Gżira United	0:3
12.03.22	Gżira United - Sirens	2:1
04.12.21	Sirens - Gżira United	1:3
05.12.20	Sirens - Gżira United	1:0
10.11.19	Gżira United - Sirens	0:1

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