Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 3

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Hibernians Ground (Paola)


	Marsaxlokk		Sirens

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.6
	1.62	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.87	4.65
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.6	3.76	4.75
	1.63	3.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.81)	3.74 ↑ (3.23)	4.73 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
56.4%

Draw
24.3%

Sirens
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.3%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sirens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sirens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Marsaxlokk - Sirens Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Marsaxlokk will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Sirens will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marsaxlokk: 44.1% – 94.3%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Drobnjak M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. (C) 88. Akinbule S. 18. Camilleri G. 94. Fernandinho 6. Muscat N. 33. Pires D. D. 19. Vaikainah A. 17. Walker J. 3. Weder 10. Yuri	1. Cassar A. (G) 23. Asare B. 5. Boakye Owusu P. 77. Borg J. 26. Borg S. 22. Cini A. (C) 29. Donsu K. 18. Mohammed Akadom H. 9. Perea J. 8. Pulis N. 3. Tiago Bettim
Substitutes
23. Boakye S. 11. Bonnici D. 2. Dimech K. 8. Ghio J. 16. Haber J. (G) 22. Mifsud D. 99. Obonogwu A. 37. Saliba A. (G) 30. Scicluna R. 4. Yago 5. Zerafa D.	96. Agius D. 12. Akpan I. E. (G) 10. Boateng F. 15. Ceesay E. 17. Charles A. 92. Dalli C. 24. Grima M. 31. Jackson K. D. 16. Muscat K. 11. Opoku D. 6. Zarb D.
Coaches
Muscat W.	D'Amato S.

Preview

Marsaxlokk in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sirens is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marsaxlokk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marsaxlokk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
24.09.23	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Marsaxlokk - Sliema Wanderers	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWWW
- Sirens FC
Maltese Premier League
22.09.23	Sirens - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Valletta - Sirens	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.09.23	Mosta - Sirens	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Naxxar Lions - Sirens	1:3 ✺
18.08.23	Sirens - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
13.11.22	Marsaxlokk - Sirens	1:2

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