The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gżira United 31.9%
Draw 29%
Naxxar Lions 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
27.2%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
25.8%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gżira United's form might have worsened.
Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gżira United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Gżira United - Naxxar Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gżira will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Naxxar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Naxxar (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Naxxar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sargent K. (G) 5. Abela D. 6. Borg A. 28. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 7. Martinez S. 10. Maxuell Samurai (C) 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 96. Stojanovic M. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
1. Debono M. (G) 10. Farias E. (C) 30. Guehi S. 5. Gustavo Felipe 22. Kontchou C. 18. Letherby D. 8. Pace Cocks N. 9. Pahama N. 4. Theo Kruger 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
9. Andre Carlos 19. Bastic S. 8. Borg B. 4. Cassar N. 33. Colombo E. (G) 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 98. Kante 15. Mifsud D. 2. Ramos P. 29. Spiteri N.
80. Azzopardi J. (G) 17. Bugeja F. 13. Bugeja S. 20. Costa Goncalves G. 7. Fenech M. 14. Gauci C. 33. Joao Moura 21. Micallef M. 15. Montero Y. 25. Portelli O. 99. Vella A. (G)
Coaches
Abdilla D.
Muscat W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Vinicius Baiano 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Letherby D. ↓, Micallef M. ↑,
46', Farias E. ↓, Costa Goncalves G. ↑,
67', Riascos L. ↓, Bastic S. ↑,
67', N’sa C. ↓, Borg B. ↑,
71', Pace Cocks N. ↓, Fenech M. ↑,
76', Cassar N. ↓, Kante ↑,
76', Maxuell Samurai ↓, Andre Carlos ↑,
85', Debono M. 🟨,
86', Gustavo Felipe 🟨,
87', Bastic S. 🟨,
87', Kontchou C. ↓, Portelli O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 4.
In recent matches, Gżira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Naxxar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gżira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gżira has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
Malta
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Sargent K. (G) 
Martinez S. 
Maxuell Samurai (C) 
N’sa C. 
Stojanovic M. 
Van de Bovenkamp M. 
Guehi S. 
Kontchou C. 
Bastic S. 
Colombo E. (G) 
Montero Y. 
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