Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Bravida Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Häcken		Brann

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.5	3.7	2.5
	2.72	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.79	3.57	2.5
	2.94	3.52	2.28	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.69	3.71	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (1.91)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	2.44 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
35.1%

Draw
26.4%

Brann
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Häcken's form might have worsened.

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Häcken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	25%	21.9%

Häcken - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). Brann will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 35.4% – 71.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Brann (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Brann (4.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 10 - 50%). Brann (votes: 6 - 30%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 11. Lindberg J. 4. Lode M. 23. Samuelsson O. 21. Lundkvist A. 8. Andersen S. 15. Leach S. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 20. Svanback A. 39. Brusberg I. 24. Layouni A.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 23. Pedersen T. 26. Fauske Helland E. 6. Sery Larsen J. 17. Soltvedt J. 8. Myhre F. (C) 18. Sorensen J. 10. Kornvig E. 14. Mathisen U. 22. Magnusson S. 19. Gudmundsson E.
Substitutes
18. Al Saed D. 16. Dahbo P. 19. Dembe J. 44. Hilvenius H. 9. Hrstic S. 13. Jansson S. 1. Linde A. (G) 31. Madsen L. 7. Ngabo S. 28. Ohman F. 10. Rygaard M. 22. Zecevic N.	9. Castro N. 21. De Roeve D. 11. Finne B. 32. Haaland M. 7. Hansen M. 43. Holten R. 24. Klausen M. (G) 3. Knudsen F. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Magnusson S. 🟨,
15', Lode M. 🟨,
16', Soltvedt J. (Pen),
26', Sorensen J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Magnusson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Pedersen T. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Magnusson S. ⚽, Mathisen U. (A),
58', Leach S. ↓, Rygaard M. ↑,
58', Brusberg I. ↓, Dembe J. ↑,
61', Mathisen U. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
61', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Knudsen F. ↑,
74', Andersen S. ↓, Ngabo S. ↑,
76', Magnusson S. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
76', Pedersen T. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
87', Svanback A. ↓, Hrstic S. ↑,
87', Lundkvist A. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
89', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Castro N. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Häcken is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brann's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Häcken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.08.25	Häcken - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Häcken - Anderlecht	3:1 penalties ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	Häcken - Djurgården	1:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Anderlecht - Häcken	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Halmstad - Häcken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLT
- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Brann	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Brann - Red Bull Salzburg	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Brann	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Brann - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLLW

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