The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 18.3%
Draw 25.8%
Brann 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
25.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
25.8%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 08's form might have worsened.
Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
13.3%
20%
Sarpsborg 08 - Brann Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brann will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 42.8% โ 90.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Sarpsborg (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sarpsborg 08 will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 32. Wichne E. 2. Koch M. (C) 4. Skuseth N. 3. Jeahze M. 10. Tangen H. 8. Christiansen S. 7. Sanyang A. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 27. Orjasaeter S. 11. Karlsbakk D.
1. Dyngeland M. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 23. Pedersen T. 6. Sery Larsen J. 17. Soltvedt J. 19. Gudmundsson E. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. (C) 14. Mathisen U. 11. Finne B. 22. Magnusson S.
Substitutes
17. Bruseth H. 25. Gregersen J. 19. Gudjohnsen S. 21. Hiim A. 31. Jenssen H. (G) 26. Job D. 5. Odegaard M. 20. Reinhardsen P. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M.
12. Borsheim M. (G) 40. Eikrem J. 32. Haaland M. 7. Hansen M. 43. Holten R. 3. Knudsen F. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M.
Coaches
Michelsen C.
Alexandersson F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Jeahze M. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, De Roeve D. ⚽, Gudmundsson E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Sanyang A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
49', Koch M. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Orjasaeter S. ⚽, Tangen H. (A),
60', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Knudsen F. ↑,
60', Mathisen U. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Finne B. ⚽, Haaland M. (A),
72', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
76', Sorensen J. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Haaland M. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
84', 1 - 4, Gudmundsson E. ⚽,
85', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
85', Tangen H. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
86', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
88', Finne B. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Sarpsborg: Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Brann: Fauske Helland E.
(Red Card)
Kornvig E.
(Yellow Cards)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
Torsvik J.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Christiansen S.
(Knock)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).