Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.7
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.35	3.45	1.75
	4.3	3.84	1.7
	5.39	3.41	1.68	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.31	3.74	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.23)	3.48 ↑ (3.16)	1.71 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
20.6%

Draw
26.2%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.9%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.8%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástic de Tarragona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 21. Retu 7. Escudero A. 10. Espinosa N. 8. Mangada C. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 11. Ropero U. 19. Sol F.	1. Rebollo D. (G) 2. Camus S. 21. Pujol E. 22. Perez H. 16. Moi 7. Abdallah K. 24. Gelardo A. 14. Sanz O. (C) 8. Montalvo M. 17. Martinez P. 23. Baselga M.
Substitutes
31. Abdelilah H. 22. Aranda A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 17. De Leon J. 16. Fede 34. Fede 28. Galvan J. 35. Lidon A. (G) 27. Mamourou J. 26. Sergio G. F. 32. Valverde J.	4. Alba D. 5. Alcala P. 19. Fuentes J. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 27. Gutierrez A. 10. Jardi J. 9. Omoigui C. 35. Pavon M. 36. Pozo T. 20. Santos S. 29. Subirats O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Sol F. 🟨,
34', Retu 🟨,
38', Ropero U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Camus S. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
52', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Fede ↑,
58', Ropero U. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Sol F. ⚽, Fede (A),
67', Martinez P. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Abdallah K. ⚽,
77', Retu ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
77', Escudero A. ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
77', Sol F. ↓, Abdelilah H. ↑,
81', Baselga M. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
88', Gelardo A. ↓, Alcala P. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnàstic could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.84%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.05.26	Algeciras - Hércules	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Hércules - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Villarreal B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Hércules - Teruel	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sabadell - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.05.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sevilla B	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Marbella - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.12.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	0:2
08.02.15	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:3
21.09.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.12	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3

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