Match Info

3rd Division - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Hørsholm Idrætspark (Rungsted Kyst)


	Hørsholm-Usserød		Vanløse

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.50	2.30
	2.65	3.45	2.23
	2.42	3.57	2.51
	2.5	3.68	2.4	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.45
	2.36	3.78	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	2.42 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hørsholm-Usserød
37%

Draw
25.4%

Vanløse
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hørsholm-Usserød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Vanløse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hørsholm-Usserød that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanløse than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanløse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hørsholm Usserød - Vanløse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

In recent outings, Hørsholm-Usserød has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vanløse is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vanløse could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hørsholm-Usserød has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hørsholm-Usserød against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vanlose	10	5	4	1	16:9	7	19
8	Horsholm-Usserod	10	3	3	4	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Brønshøj BK	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Helsingør - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWLLW
- Vanløse
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	Vanløse - Ishøj IF	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.09.26	Vanløse - Hillerød	2:1 AET ✺
Danish 3 Division
05.09.26	Holstebro - Vanløse	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Vanløse - BK Frem	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Allerød - Vanløse	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
06.06.26	Vanløse - Hørsholm-Usserød	0:2
02.05.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	0:1
07.03.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	0:1
04.10.25	Vanløse - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:2
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.08.21	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	0:2

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