Match Info

1st Division - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	HB Køge		Horsens

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.71	Watch
	5	4.1	1.53
	4.45	3.9	1.7
	5.74	4.32	1.55
	3.94	3.61	1.86	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (5.09)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)	1.69 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
20.5%

Draw
24.1%

Horsens
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

23.3%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.5%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

HB Køge - Horsens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Køge (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Horsens will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Horsens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Køge (votes: 1 - 25%). Horsens (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayrak B. (G) 3. Larsen S. 23. Westergren M. 2. Bust L. 24. Rasmussen M. 7. Jensen M. (C) 14. Sorensen V. 6. Brodersen R. 17. Alkhoudari B. 11. Mudi 10. Jensen Tue C.	1. Delac M. (C) 26. Palsson V. 33. Ludwig A. 24. Kolskogen O. 30. Doua S. 16. Moro A. 32. Olsen P. 7. Milicevic I. 29. Brandhof F. 11. Pingel S. 10. Kirkegaard K.
Substitutes
34. Achton L. 5. Culhaci G. 27. Dorgu I. 20. Gothler A. 16. Hald S. 21. Jakobsen N. 26. Schmidt L. 12. Talyspayev D. (G) 30. Villumsen E.	22. Batigi J. 9. Baturina R. 17. Herdonsson A. 35. Kupijbida M. 20. Lusavec K. 14. Madsen J. 27. Ouorou Y. 25. Sene F. 23. Smarsch D. (G)
Coaches
Pedersen N.	Nielsen D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Larsen S. 🟨,
28', Moro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Jensen Tue C. ⚽, Alkhoudari B. (A),
60', Moro A. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
60', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
71', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
74', Kolskogen O. 🟨,
77', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
77', Brodersen R. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
80', Brandhof F. 🟨,
80', Doua S. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
81', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
87', Rasmussen M. ↓, Hald S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 1.

Køge is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Horsens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Horsens is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Køge won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
01.09.25	Esbjerg - HB Køge	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Middelfart - HB Køge	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- AC Horsens
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.09.25	Horsens - Viborg	0:1 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.08.25	Horsens - B.93 Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lyngby BK - Horsens	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Hobro - Horsens	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Aalborg BK - Horsens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
24.11.24	Horsens - HB Køge	0:0
11.08.24	HB Køge - Horsens	0:2
01.06.24	Horsens - HB Køge	1:1
01.04.24	HB Køge - Horsens	5:0
03.11.23	HB Køge - Horsens	1:4
04.08.23	Horsens - HB Køge	2:0
01.11.21	HB Køge - Horsens	2:0

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