Match Info

Date: 15 August 2022, Monday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	HIFK		SJK

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.65	Watch
	4	3.8	1.77
	4.5	4	1.7
	4.2	3.85	1.72
	4.49	4.01	1.79
	4.2	3.6	1.73
	4.3	3.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.5)	3.89 ↑ (3.4)	1.73 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
21.7%

Draw
24.1%

SJK
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SJK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	13.5%	70.3%

HIFK - SJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). SJK will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 55.6% – 85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 1.

HIFK is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SJK is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HIFK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SJK is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches HIFK won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-29.

Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.08.22	Lahti - HIFK	0:0 ✺
01.08.22	HIFK - Inter Turku	0:3 ✺
24.07.22	KuPS Kuopio - HIFK	5:1 ✺
16.07.22	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	1:1 ✺
09.07.22	HIFK - Haka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTL
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.08.22	Inter Turku - SJK	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	SJK - Oulu	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Lillestrøm SK - SJK	5:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.07.22	Lahti - SJK	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	SJK - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.04.22	SJK - HIFK	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
05.03.22	SJK - HIFK	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.10.21	HIFK - SJK	2:2
07.09.21	HIFK - SJK	1:0
07.05.21	SJK - HIFK	1:1
28.09.20	SJK - HIFK	3:2
22.07.20	HIFK - SJK	2:1

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