Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)


	IFK Mariehamn		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.6	3.9	5.3
	1.59	3.9	5.2
	1.63	4.18	5.68
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.61	4.15	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.27)	3.92 ↑ (3.2)	5.36 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Mariehamn
58.8%

Draw
23.8%

HIFK
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Mariehamn's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Mariehamn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	21.4%	28.6%

IFK Mariehamn - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 14 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mariehamn: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Mariehamn is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 6 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariehamn won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.07.22	VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn	1:3 ✺
02.07.22	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	3:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTWLL
- HIFK
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.07.22	HIFK - Haka	0:2 ✺
04.07.22	HIFK - Ilves	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.06.22	PK-35 Vantaa - HIFK	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	Ilves - HIFK	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	HIFK - VPS Vaasa	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
13.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	1:2 penalties
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.04.22	HIFK - IFK Mariehamn	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
20.02.22	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.21	HIFK - IFK Mariehamn	0:3
04.07.21	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	0:0
19.09.20	HIFK - IFK Mariehamn	2:2
26.07.20	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	0:3

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