Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Referee: Birsan M. (Rou)


	SJK		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.53	Watch
	6	3.9	1.55
	6.35	3.85	1.53
	6.4	3.75	1.5
	6.28	3.86	1.52
	6.15	4.2	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (3.4)	3.93 ↑ (3.4)	1.52 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK
15.3%

Draw
23.6%

Lillestrøm SK
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.2%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SJK's form might have worsened.

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	20%	68.6%

SJK - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lillestrøm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SJK have a series of home games.

In this match Lillestrøm is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.07.22	SJK - Ilves	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.07.22	SJK - Flora Tallinn	4:2 ET ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.07.22	SJK - Honka	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Flora Tallinn - SJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	SJK - Haka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.07.22	Odd - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Lillestrøm SK - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Kristiansund - Lillestrøm SK	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.06.22	Strømsgodset - Lillestrøm SK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

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