Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)


	HIFK		Haka

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.78
	4.4	3.85	1.73
	4.5	3.7	1.71
	4.69	4.01	1.76
	4.4	3.4	1.73
	4.55	3.86	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.34)	3.72 ↑ (3.1)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
21.1%

Draw
25.1%

Haka
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

31.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HIFK's form might have worsened.

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	18.5%	59.3%

HIFK - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Haka will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haka: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

HIFK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Haka is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches HIFK won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.07.22	HIFK - Ilves	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.06.22	PK-35 Vantaa - HIFK	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	Ilves - HIFK	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	HIFK - VPS Vaasa	1:5 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWLW
- FC Haka
Finnish Cup
29.06.22	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	SJK - Haka	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	3:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
14.06.22	HJS - Haka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.05.22	Haka - Lahti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.04.22	Haka - HIFK	2:1
30.09.21	Haka - HIFK	2:0
03.05.21	HIFK - Haka	2:0
23.08.20	HIFK - Haka	0:1
05.08.20	Haka - HIFK	0:2
Finnish Ykkonen
27.08.18	HIFK - Haka	2:0
26.06.18	HIFK - Haka	2:0

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