Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)


	HJK		Farul Constanța

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.35
	2.12	3.4	3.3
	2.09	3.55	3.51
	2.06	3.56	3.4
	2.1	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.7)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.42 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
45.1%

Draw
27.2%

Farul Constanța
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

26.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farul Constanța might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farul Constanța could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	29.2%	45.8%

HJK - Farul Constanța Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Farul will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farul: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Maenpaa N. (G) 4. Toivio J. 15. Tenho M. (C) 6. Halme A. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 10. Lingman L. 14. Peltola M. 23. Soiri P. 7. Hostikka S. 18. Keskinen T. 9. Radulovic B.	12. Aioani M. (G) 22. Sirbu D. 17. Larie I. (C) 3. Popescu M. 25. Kiki D. 6. Baluta T. 16. Nedelcu D. 18. Artean A. 9. Munteanu L. 7. Rivaldinho 10. Budescu C.
Substitutes
17. Bande H. 5. Da Graca K. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 2. Ollila T. 29. Olusanya A. 1. Ost J. (G) 19. Paananen A. 22. Raitala J. 11. Riski Ro. 37. Tanaka A.	19. Andronache L. 21. Boli K. 1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 99. Dussaut D. 24. Grameni C. 66. Grosu D. 45. Gustavo Marins 26. Mazilu A. 80. Popescu N. 5. Queiros D. 77. Sali E. 8. Vina I.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Hagi G.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches HJK is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farul is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Farul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently HJK have a series of guest games.

HJK will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.08.23	Oulu - HJK	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Farul Constanța - HJK	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.08.23	Inter Turku - HJK	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	HJK - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - HJK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL
- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
27.08.23	Farul Constanța - Universitatea Craiova	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Farul Constanța - HJK	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
20.08.23	Rapid Bucureşti - Farul Constanța	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.08.23	Flora Tallinn - Farul Constanța	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Farul Constanța - HJK	2:1

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