Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Stadium Hagi Academy (Ovidiu) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)


	Farul Constanța		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.4
	1.7	3.7	4.8
	1.74	3.7	4.75
	1.74	3.77	4.81
	1.67	3.92	4.9	Watch
	1.73	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2)	3.73 ↑ (3.33)	4.81 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farul Constanța
55.1%

Draw
25.3%

HJK
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farul Constanța has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farul Constanța's performance.

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farul Constanța that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.6%	2.1%	4.3%

Farul Constanța - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aioani M. (G) 22. Sirbu D. 17. Larie I. (C) 21. Boli K. 25. Kiki D. 18. Artean A. 16. Nedelcu D. 6. Baluta T. 26. Mazilu A. 7. Rivaldinho 10. Budescu C.	85. Maenpaa N. (G) 4. Toivio J. 15. Tenho M. (C) 6. Halme A. 23. Soiri P. 14. Peltola M. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 2. Ollila T. 7. Hostikka S. 9. Radulovic B. 18. Keskinen T.
Substitutes
19. Andronache L. 1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 23. Carnat N. 99. Dussaut D. 24. Grameni C. 45. Gustavo Marins 9. Munteanu L. 3. Popescu M. 5. Queiros D. 77. Sali E. 13. Vianna F. 8. Vina I.	17. Bande H. 5. Da Graca K. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 29. Olusanya A. 1. Ost J. (G) 78. Ramula A. (G) 11. Riski Ro. 37. Tanaka A.
Coaches
Hagi G.	Korkeakunnas T.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

HJK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Farul have a series of guest games.

In this match Farul is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
20.08.23	Rapid Bucureşti - Farul Constanța	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.08.23	Flora Tallinn - Farul Constanța	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
06.08.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Urartu Yerevan - Farul Constanța	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.08.23	Inter Turku - HJK	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	HJK - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - HJK	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.08.23	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Molde - HJK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
02.11.26	Voluntari - Farul Constanța	✺
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.11.26	VPS Vaasa - HJK	✺
29.10.26	Inter Turku - HJK	✺

Farul Constanța - HJK