Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Oulu		HJK

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.70	1.70
	4.20	3.90	1.72
	4.10	3.80	1.78
	4.33	3.93	1.79
	4.26	3.93	1.76	Watch
	4.20	3.85	1.72
	4.18	3.88	1.75	Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.4)	3.84 ↑ (3.52)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
22.2%

Draw
24.3%

HJK
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

25.9%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Oulu - HJK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.

Oulu is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by HJK have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to HJK for this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Oulu has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:30 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oulu against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:11 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

HJK: 12.87% AC Oulu: 0.51%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Last Results with these Odds

HJK - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLT
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.10.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	6:0 ✺
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	Oulu - HJK	0:1
11.04.26	HJK - Oulu	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Oulu - HJK	2:1
Finnish Cup
21.08.25	HJK - Oulu	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.07.25	HJK - Oulu	3:1
14.06.25	Oulu - HJK	0:4
27.07.24	HJK - Oulu	3:0

Oulu - HJK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide