Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	HJK		Oulu

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.25	4.7	Watch
	1.71	4.41	4.69
	1.7	4.34	4.28	Watch
	1.65	4	4.2
	1.69	3.99	4.43	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.52)	4.16 ↓ (4.57)	4.46 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
56.4%

Draw
22.6%

Oulu
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

20.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

HJK - Oulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Markovic M. (G) 2. Lyons-Foster B. 31. Bogicevic M. 6. Tikkanen V. 14. Montano L. 19. Ezeh D. 10. Lingman L. 8. Mentu P. 9. Borchers M. 4. Ring A. (C) 20. Pukki T.	13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 11. Ghezali L. 6. Paananen J. 21. Mendolin I. 27. Kallio E. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 26. Korkko J.
Substitutes
7. Cicale A. 15. Kallinen J. 17. Kirilov M. 26. Lappalainen L. 18. Mero T. 22. Moller L. 1. Ost J. (G) 13. Simojoki K. 28. Ylitolva M.	18. Cassama A. 20. Jatta K. 14. Jokelainen N. 3. Lietsa A. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Mendolin I. 🟨,
20', Korkko J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Kallio E. ⚽, Ghezali L. (A),
37', Paananen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
58', Borchers M. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
65', Ghezali L. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
67', Pitkanen M. 🟨,
67', Ezeh D. ↓, Cicale A. ↑,
68', Ring A. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
80', Korkko J. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
88', Mentu P. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
90+2', Kirilov M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 4.

HJK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oulu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, HJK is considered a favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury)

There are questionable in HJK: Cicale A. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, HJK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

HJK: 12.72% AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	HJK - SJK	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Djurgården - HJK	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	HJK - SJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Oulu - HJK	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.03.26	HJK - Gnistan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Gnistan - Oulu	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	2:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.03.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Oulu - HJK	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Oulu - HJK	2:1
Finnish Cup
21.08.25	HJK - Oulu	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.07.25	HJK - Oulu	3:1
14.06.25	Oulu - HJK	0:4
27.07.24	HJK - Oulu	3:0
31.05.24	Oulu - HJK	1:0
27.08.23	Oulu - HJK	1:3

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