Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 13

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Nelonen, Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	HJK		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.80
	2.32	3.45	2.88
	2.41	3.7	2.93
	2.29	3.7	2.89	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.85
	2.26	3.48	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.29)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.84 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
40.5%

Draw
26.6%

KuPS Kuopio
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

24.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for KuPS Kuopio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

HJK - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 5 - 50%). KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ost J. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 6. Tikkanen V. 3. Cissokho T. 14. Montano L. 10. Lingman L. 22. Moller L. 4. Ring A. (C) 15. Kallinen J. 9. Borchers M. 20. Pukki T.	1. Kreidl J. (C) 29. Puukko A. 23. Lotjonen A. 28. Magassa B. 25. Antwi C. 34. Ruoppi O. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. 24. Armah B. 9. Engvall G. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
7. Cicale A. 12. Haapanen M. (G) 17. Kirilov M. 26. Lappalainen L. 24. Levealahti E. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 8. Mentu P. 18. Mero T. 13. Simojoki K.	4. Adams K. 33. Hamalainen T. 17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 2. Ward K.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Tikkanen V. 🟥,
16', Pukki T. ↓, Levealahti E. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Pennanen P. ⚽, Armah B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 0 - 2, Pennanen P. ⚽,
60', Ring A. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
60', Lingman L. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
60', Moller L. ↓, Cicale A. ↑,
66', Ruoppi O. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
74', Engvall G. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
74', Puukko A. ↓, Hamalainen T. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Hamalainen T. (A),
84', 0 - 4, Heinonen A. ⚽,
85', Cissokho T. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
86', Magassa B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
86', Armah B. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 1.

HJK has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

KuPS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Injury) Mentu P. (Injury) Nylund A. (Injury) Toivonen E. (Injury)

There will not play in KuPS: Kabuye C. (Injury) Pasanen S. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Injury)

There are questionable in HJK: Simojoki K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56% HJK: 12.72%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Last Results with these Odds

HJK - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

KuPS Kuopio - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.06.26	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	0:4 ✺
17.06.26	HJK - Inter Turku	3:3 ✺
13.06.26	FF Jaro - HJK	2:5 ✺
Finnish Cup
09.06.26	Honka - HJK	1:7 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.06.26	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	4:3 ✺
17.06.26	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1
09.11.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:2
19.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	3:1
Finnish Cup
20.09.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.25	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	3:0
31.05.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
15.03.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	3:1

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