The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HJK 49%
Draw 25.4%
KuPS Kuopio 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.4%
26.4%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
25%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
HJK - KuPS Kuopio Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). KuPS will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 50.6% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Samooja J. (G) 17. Alho N. 31. Bogicevic M. 6. Tikkanen V. 14. Montano L. 4. Ring A. (C) 8. Mentu P. 22. Moller L. 29. Haarala S. 7. Cicale A. 9. Borchers M.
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 14. Pasanen S. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 24. Armah B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
3. Cissokho T. 32. Gueye M. 12. Haapanen M. (G) 11. Kirilov M. 26. Lappalainen L. 10. Lingman L. 20. Pukki T. 13. Simojoki K. 77. Veteli J.
4. Adams K. 15. Aiki A. 9. Engvall G. 34. Eskesen J. 3. Heiskanen S. 16. Jyry T. 13. Kujasalo N. 20. Parzyszek P. 12. Riihimaki H. (G)
Coaches
Rantanen J.
Nuutinen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Moller L. 🟨,
44', Ring A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Moller L. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Pennanen P. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽,
66', Cicale A. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
66', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Jyry T. ↑,
66', Pasanen S. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
72', Ring A. ↓, Veteli J. ↑,
72', Moller L. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Alho N. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
75', Eskesen J. 🟨,
76', Alho N. 🟨,
77', Pennanen P. 🟨,
78', Armah B. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
83', Lotjonen A. 🟨,
87', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 0.
HJK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
KuPS has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
KuPS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, HJK is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for HJK: Ezeh D.
(Broken hipbone)
Kallinen J.
(Inactive)
Markovic M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for KuPS: Kabuye C.
(Inactive)
Magassa B.
(Red Card)
Voutilainen J.
(Surgery).
Our forecast points to a victory for HJK in today's match, at odds of 1.84.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HJK has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:29 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HJK against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Finland
International
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Samooja J. (G) 
Bogicevic M. 
Montano L. 
Cicale A. 
Kreidl J. (G) 
Antwi C. 
Gasc V. R. 
Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 
Cissokho T. 
Gueye M. 
Engvall G. 
Parzyszek P. 
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