Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Kórinn (Kópavogur)


	HK Kópavogur		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.4
	2.28	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.67	3.9	2.29
	2.65	3.88	2.27	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.5
	2.32	3.58	2.5	Watch
	2.2	3.62	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)	3.65 ↓ (3.9)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HK Kópavogur
37.5%

Draw
24.7%

Keflavík
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

23.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

HK Kópavogur - Keflavík Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - HK Kópavogur (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HK Kópavogur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Asgeirsson O. (G) 5. Antonsson T. 9. Arnarsson J. 8. Atlason A. (C) 11. Gardarson D. 32. Gautason K. 21. Jonsson I. 29. Karlsson K. 4. Larusson A. 16. Runarsson E. 28. Thorvarsson T.	21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 18. Bjarnason E. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Sigfusson K.
Substitutes
7. Axelsson D. 26. Benediktsson V. 19. Gunnarsson A. 88. Kooistra B. 14. Palsson B. 24. Petursson M. 12. Stefansson S. (G)	42. Brynjarsson B. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 24. Gudmundsson G. 6. Magnusson S. 14. Mudrazija M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Ljubicic S. (Pen),
16', 1 - 0, Karlsson K. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Thorvarsson T. ⚽, Arnarsson J. (A),
42', Ljubicic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arnarsson J. ↓, Kooistra B. ↑,
66', Gardarson D. ↓, Axelsson D. ↑,
66', Atlason A. ↓, Palsson B. ↑,
66', Karlsson K. ↓, Benediktsson V. ↑,
69', Ljubicic S. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
69', Elvarsson F. ↓, Magnusson S. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Kooistra B. ⚽,
76', Al Ghoul M. 🟨,
77', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
77', Johannesson A. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
79', Axelsson D. 🟨,
81', Gautason K. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
86', Bjarnason E. ↓, Brynjarsson B. ↑,
90+2', Palsson B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 3.

HK Kópavogur has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Keflavík is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, HK Kópavogur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kópavogur
Icelandic Division 1
29.07.25	Njarðvík - HK Kópavogur	3:0 ✺
25.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	IR Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Völsungur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
29.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Keflavík - Fjölnir	5:4 ✺
11.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Keflavík	3:2 ✺
07.07.25	Grindavik - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
30.05.25	Keflavík - HK Kópavogur	0:3
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.09.23	Keflavík - HK Kópavogur	2:1
09.08.23	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	3:1
14.05.23	Keflavík - HK Kópavogur	0:2
Icelandic Fotboltinet Cup
18.01.22	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	3:5
Icelandic Cup
15.09.21	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	3:5
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.08.21	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	1:0

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