Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Kórinn (Kópavogur)


	HK Kópavogur		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.7	2.55
	2.1	3.8	2.65
	2.17	4.15	2.63
	2.79	3.07	2.55	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.62
	2.15	3.92	2.64	Watch
	1.76	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.76)	3.75 ↓ (4)	2.72 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HK Kópavogur
41.8%

Draw
24.5%

Thor Akureyri
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

21%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HK Kópavogur's form might have worsened.

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HK Kópavogur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. HK Kópavogur will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Thor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Asgeirsson O. (G) 5. Antonsson T. 9. Arnarsson J. 15. Eiriksson H. 2. Frostason K. S. 11. Gardarson D. 3. Gissurarson I. 4. Larusson A. 14. Palsson B. 16. Runarsson E. (C) 28. Thorvarsson T.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 24. Geirsson Y. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
8. Atlason A. 10. Burknason B. 21. Jonsson I. 29. Karlsson K. 88. Kooistra B. 25. Olafsson A. (G) 24. Petursson M.	26. Davidsson D. 13. Hjorvarsson N. 18. Ingason S. 28. Lalic F. (G) 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H. 27. Sindrason A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽,
32', Affi Y. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Gissurarson I. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Gunnarsson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Magnusson A. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
58', Thorvarsson T. ↓, Karlsson K. ↑,
61', Runarsson H. 🟨,
66', Geirsson Y. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,
75', Eiriksson H. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
77', Victor R. ↓, Davidsson D. ↑,
82', Runarsson E. ↓, Atlason A. ↑,
82', Arnarsson J. ↓, Kooistra B. ↑,
82', Larusson A. 🟨,
87', Frostason K. S. 🟨,
90+1', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Hjorvarsson N. ↑,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 2.

HK Kópavogur is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Thor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

HK Kópavogur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

HK Kópavogur could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, HK Kópavogur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kópavogur
Icelandic Division 1
11.07.25	IR Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Völsungur	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	HK Kópavogur - Fjölnir	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWW
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
12.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	0:5 ✺
22.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Vestri - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
02.05.25	Thor Akureyri - HK Kópavogur	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
24.02.24	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	0:2
Icelandic Division 1
14.08.22	Thor Akureyri - HK Kópavogur	2:0
11.06.22	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	3:1
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.20	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	1:0
Icelandic Division 1
18.08.18	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	4:1
09.06.18	Thor Akureyri - HK Kópavogur	2:2

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