Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)


	Thor Akureyri		Throttur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.8	2.85
	2.03	3.65	2.85
	2.09	4.01	3.06
				Watch
	2	3.75	3
	1.97	3.76	3.07	Watch
	1.98	3.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.35)	3.8 (3.8)	2.95 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
45.3%

Draw
23.9%

Throttur Reykjavik
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.

Throttur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Throttur will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thor: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Thor (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 24. Geirsson Y. 37. Gunnarsson S. 18. Ingason S. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 9. Victor R.	1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 5. Gudbergsson K. 9. Hafthorsson V. 21. Hardarson B. 32. Ingason A. 33. Ingvarsson U. 75. Jeffs L. 8. Stefansson B. 20. Steinarsson V. 25. Thorhallsson H.
Substitutes
2. Arnarsson A. 25. Arnason P. 8. Halldorsson E. 16. Hjorvarsson N. 28. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H. 27. Sindrason A.	6. Einarsson E. 7. Erlingsson E. 27. Gudmundsson S. 12. Jonsson B. (G) 10. Sigurdsson J. 45. Sigurdsson V. 4. Thorhallsson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Blondal E. 🟨,
31', Geirsson Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 0, Victor R. ⚽, Geirsson Y. (A),
58', Sigurjonsson O. 🟨,
61', Hafthorsson V. ↓, Sigurdsson J. ↑,
61', Jeffs L. ↓, Sigurdsson V. ↑,
61', Ingvarsson U. ↓, Gudmundsson S. ↑,
63', Victor R. ↓, Sindrason A. ↑,
69', Magnusson A. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
69', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Halldorsson E. ↑,
76', Stefansson B. ↓, Thorhallsson N. ↑,
78', Affi Y. 🟨,
78', Steinarsson V. 🟨,
84', Steinarsson V. ↓, Erlingsson E. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Sigurdsson J. ⚽,
89', Gudmundsson S. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Blondal E. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Thor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Thor won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
27.06.25	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	0:5 ✺
22.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Vestri - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
14.06.25	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	3:1 ✺
09.06.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLT
- Throttur Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
27.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	2:2 ✺
19.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	1:4 ✺
14.06.25	Selfoss - Throttur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Njarðvík	2:2 ✺
04.06.25	IR Reykjavik - Throttur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
20.07.24	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	0:1
03.05.24	Throttur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	1:1
16.08.23	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	2:1
10.06.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	3:0
Icelandic League Cup
11.03.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	3:4
Icelandic Division 1
18.09.21	Throttur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	2:3
09.07.21	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	5:1

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