Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		IJsselmeervogels

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.95	3.95
	1.70	3.96	4.22	Watch
	1.65	3.94	4.21	Watch
	1.64	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	4.01 ↑ (3.96)	4.05 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
54.8%

Draw
22.7%

IJsselmeervogels
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

HSV Hoek - IJsselmeervogels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 21. Martens G. 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 14. Van Hauter R. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 4. Lion J. 10. Aelterman N. 9. Hage S. 11. Delannoy G.	1. Schaap J. (G) 77. Kuisch G. 23. van Gorkom B. 3. van der Velden J. 2. van de Groep G. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 6. Schulte R. 11. Hardijk M. 8. Butter N. 21. van Hees M. 10. Dkidak A.
Substitutes
13. Hebbelinck K. 8. Lijbers T. 19. Ngongo J. 3. Pengel J. 20. Schalkwijk S. 30. Standaert M. (G) 17. Sula D.	7. Beekman T. 16. Gemert T. 20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 14. Ruizendaal J. 5. Steur D. 33. Van Bohemen C. 15. van den Anker V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, van Hees M. ⚽, Hardijk M. (A),
43', Van Hauter R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kuisch G. ↓, Van Bohemen C. ↑,
52', Delannoy G. ↓, Schalkwijk S. ↑,
52', Aelterman N. ↓, Hebbelinck K. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Hage S. ⚽, Hebbelinck K. (A),
60', Schulte R. ↓, van den Anker V. ↑,
62', Dkidak A. 🟨,
70', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Sula D. ↑,
75', van Hees M. ↓, Beekman T. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Hage S. ⚽,
80', van de Groep G. ↓, Steur D. ↑,
80', Dkidak A. ↓, Ruizendaal J. ↑,
84', Schuurman J. 🟨,
86', Hage S. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 15).

Hoek is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, IJsselmeervogels has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hoek is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hoek will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hoek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.10.25	Quick Boys - HSV Hoek	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	HSV Hoek - HHC Hardenberg	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	GVVV - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	HSV Hoek - Blauw Geel 38	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW
- IJsselmeervogels
Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.10.25	IJsselmeervogels - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Spakenburg - IJsselmeervogels	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	IJsselmeervogels - Koninklijke HFC	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Katwijk - IJsselmeervogels	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	IJsselmeervogels - De Treffers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
20.09.22	IJsselmeervogels - HSV Hoek	0:1 penalties

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