Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		GVVV

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.15	3.45	2.82	Watch
	2.21	3.8	2.71
	2.2	3.94	2.76	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.19	3.56	2.74	Watch
	2.18	3.5	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 (2.18)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.76 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
41.7%

Draw
25.4%

GVVV
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

HSV Hoek - GVVV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 23. Siereveld G. 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 14. Van Hauter R. 10. Aelterman N. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 13. Hebbelinck K. 17. Sula D. (C) 19. Jalloh A.	1. van Kouwen R. (G) 2. Dilrosun T. 20. Potjes J. 8. Maguire B. (C) 3. Willems M. 10. Veenhof Q. 43. Menelik A. 21. Spies J. 22. Dumay Q. 6. van Soest A. 7. Sint V.
Substitutes
11. Delannoy G. 9. Hage S. 4. Lion J. 3. Pengel J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 16. Steenpoorte M. 6. van Beveren J.	15. de Leeuw D. 31. Evora E. (G) 4. Hillen K. 9. Latif I. 14. Meeuwsen K. 29. Slijkhuis G. 23. Vink W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Veenhof Q. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Willems M. 🟨,
56', Jalloh A. ↓, Hage S. ↑,
57', Siereveld G. ↓, Lion J. ↑,
60', Sula D. 🟨,
72', Potjes J. 🟨,
72', Sint V. ↓, Vink W. ↑,
72', Menelik A. ↓, de Leeuw D. ↑,
74', Aelterman N. ↓, Delannoy G. ↑,
74', Van Hauter R. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
74', de Nooijer Y. ↓, van Beveren J. ↑,
84', Hage S. 🟨,
84', Spies J. ↓, Hillen K. ↑,
84', van Soest A. ↓, Latif I. ↑,

Preview

Hoek is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GVVV's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hoek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hoek	8	2	3	3	11:13	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

GVVV - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.11%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.02.26	Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	HSV Hoek - RKAV Volendam	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	ACV - HSV Hoek	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - HSV Hoek	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	HSV Hoek - Spakenburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWT
- GVVV
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.02.26	GVVV - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Spakenburg - GVVV	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	GVVV - BVV Barendrecht	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	GVVV - Koninklijke HFC	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Katwijk - GVVV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
04.10.25	GVVV - HSV Hoek	1:3

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