Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		HSV Hoek

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.35	2.28	Watch
	2.87	2.89	2.56
	2.67	3.77	2.33	Watch
	2.62	3.38	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.81)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	2.37 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
33.8%

Draw
27.4%

HSV Hoek
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 8. Udenhout J. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 2. Tureaij C. 6. van Eerden J. 10. Madi A. 30. Hamd Y. 14. Verbont Y. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.	1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 21. Martens G. (C) 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 13. Hebbelinck K. 10. Aelterman N. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 23. Siereveld G. 17. Sula D. 14. Van Hauter R.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 19. van der Velden S. 9. Wennekers B.	11. Delannoy G. 9. Hage S. 19. Jalloh A. 8. Lijbers T. 4. Lion J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 16. Steenpoorte M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽,
13', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Plank D. ⚽,
33', de Nooijer Y. 🟨,
36', 3 - 0, Madi A. ⚽, Verbont Y. (A),
45', 3 - 1, Bouihrouchane H. ⚽, Sula D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martens G. ↓, Jalloh A. ↑,
55', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Lion J. ↑,
55', Aelterman N. ↓, Hage S. ↑,
63', Plank D. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
63', Hamd Y. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
68', Siereveld G. 🟨,
74', Van Hauter R. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,
74', Siereveld G. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
77', Tavares Q. 🟨,
77', Verbont Y. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
80', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
90+6', de Poorter R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 1).

In recent matches, Excelsior Maassluis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hoek is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hoek	8	2	3	3	11:13	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.02.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior Maassluis	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Spakenburg	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Koninklijke HFC - Excelsior Maassluis	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLT
- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.02.26	HSV Hoek - RKAV Volendam	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	ACV - HSV Hoek	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - HSV Hoek	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	HSV Hoek - Spakenburg	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Koninklijke HFC - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
27.09.25	HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis	3:1

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