Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Habay-la-Neuve		Meux

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.20	3.30	2.70
	2.38	3.25	2.86
	2.36	3.36	2.74	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.80
	2.36	3.49	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Habay-la-Neuve
39.3%

Draw
27.5%

Meux
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

26.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Habay-la-Neuve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Meux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Habay-la-Neuve than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meux than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Habay la Neuve - Meux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', 🟥,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Meux could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Habay-la-Neuve has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Habay-la-Neuve has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Habay-la-Neuve against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Meux	10	6	1	3	16:9	7	19
10	Habay La Neuve	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Habay-la-Neuve - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSC Habay-la-Neuve
Belgian Cup
16.10.26	Beveren - Habay-la-Neuve	3:0 ✺
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
11.10.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Mons	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tubize - Habay-la-Neuve	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Charleroi B - Habay-la-Neuve	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
26.09.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Habay-la-Neuve	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLTW
- RFC Meux
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
17.10.26	Tubize - Meux	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Meux - Union Rochefortoise	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Meux	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Meux - Onhaye	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Meux - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
12.04.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Meux	1:2
07.03.26	Meux - Habay-la-Neuve	3:1
23.11.25	Habay-la-Neuve - Meux	1:1
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
18.05.25	Meux - Habay-la-Neuve	1:3

Habay-la-Neuve - Meux