Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Dire Dawa City		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.75	2.90
	2.38	2.92	2.88
	2.35	3.11	3.14
	2.30	2.75	2.90
	2.34	3.02	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.89)	2.91 ↑ (2.81)	2.95 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
38.4%

Draw
31%

Sheger Ketema
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

32.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

32.1%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dire Dawa City's performance.

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheger Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dire Dawa City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheger Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Abdisa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, Yusuf A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Dire Dawa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sheger Ketema has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dire Dawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
28.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Ethio Electric - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Dire Dawa City	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLT
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
16.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
27.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City	0:0

Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide