Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Poljud (Split)

Referee: Kyriakos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Hajduk TV
Slovakia	STVR2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hajduk Split		Žilina

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.50	6.25	Watch
	1.38	5.25	7.50
	1.37	4.60	8.00	Watch
	1.37	4.91	9.20
	1.35	5.2	7.7	Watch
	1.35	4.40	9.10
	1.39	4.55	7.75	Watch
	1.36	4.90	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.58)	4.79 ↑ (4.05)	7.84 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajduk Split
68.5%

Draw
19.6%

Žilina
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.2%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žilina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žilina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hajduk Split - Žilina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Hajduk (2.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hajduk Split will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hajduk Split will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silic T. (G) 22. Acapandie M. 15. Maresic D. 5. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 32. Hrgovic S. 4. Pajaziti A. 21. Pukstas R. 28. Brajkovic R. 9. de Almeida D. 17. Melnjak D. (C) 11. Sego M.	1. Badzgon J. (G) 33. Paliscak T. 25. Kasa F. 28. Narimanidze A. 21. Hranica T. 66. Kacer M. (C) 11. Bzdyl F. 20. Bari K. 23. Fasko M. 7. Kosa F. 95. Roginic M.
Substitutes
19. Brruti E. 20. del Moral A. 26. Guram A. 38. Hodak L. 1. Ivusic I. (G) 29. Karacic F. 10. Livaja M. 14. Raci R. 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 44. Stipica D. (G) 45. Zaper M.	6. Adang X. 9. Baleja P. 24. Datko S. 10. Florea A. 16. Ilko P. 17. Minarik J. 2. Okal M. 34. Prokop L. 31. Sipos D. (G) 26. Tarcsi T. (G)
Coaches
Garcia G.	Stano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Brajkovic R. ⚽, Acapandie M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, de Almeida D. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
63', Fasko M. ↓, Ilko P. ↑,
63', Kosa F. ↓, Florea A. ↑,
64', Kasa F. ↓, Minarik J. ↑,
71', Kacer M. ↓, Adang X. ↑,
73', Melnjak D. ↓, Guram A. ↑,
78', Sego M. 🟨,
79', de Almeida D. ↓, del Moral A. ↑,
79', Brajkovic R. ↓, Hodak L. ↑,
82', Hranica T. ↓, Datko S. ↑,
84', Hrgovic S. 🟨,
86', Sego M. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
90+2', Datko S. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Hajduk has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Žilina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Žilina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hajduk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hajduk is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Hajduk will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Celje - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
23.06.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Hajduk Split	0:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.05.26	Hajduk Split - Vukovar 91	6:3 ✺
16.05.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWT
- MSK Žilina
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Pardubice - Žilina	2:2 ✺
24.06.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Žilina	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Žilina - Opava	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
16.05.26	Žilina - Podbrezová	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

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