Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Haka		JäPS

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.20	4.75
	1.47	3.95	5.20	Watch
	1.54	4.63	5.52
	1.45	4.85	5.99	Watch
	1.40	4.00	5.80
	1.52	4.51	5.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	4.36 ↑ (3.9)	5.43 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
62.1%

Draw
21.1%

JäPS
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

23.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haka's performance.

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Haka - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: Haka will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 4. Auvinen E. 8. Karlsson J. 16. Laaksonen O. 11. Lanquedoc I. 17. Pietsalo R. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 5. Sovelius T. 77. Whyte O.	36. Valtonen T. (G) 10. Ahola V. 15. Dahlfors O. 3. Haikonen P. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R.
Substitutes
3. Friberg N. 44. Keto-Diyawa A. 23. Lehtinen T. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 24. Sitchinava N. 2. Tiihonen A. 22. Traore D. 1. Ziprus J. (G)	8. Heidari R. 19. Kuosa H. 7. Maliki S. 27. Soderlund I. 22. Taskos G. 1. Voutilainen N. (G)
Coaches
Ekmark T.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Pietsalo R. ⚽, Auvinen E. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Ahola V. ⚽,
26', Haikonen P. 🟨,
30', Auvinen E. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Katashira C. ⚽, Dahlfors O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sovelius T. ↓, Keto-Diyawa A. ↑,
52', Selander R. 🟨,
64', Pietsalo R. ↓, Sitchinava N. ↑,
64', Laaksonen O. ↓, Nurmi K. ↑,
71', Pallas E. ↓, Soderlund I. ↑,
75', Silas C. 🟨,
77', Ali Abubakar T. 🟨,
78', Whyte O. ↓, Mahlamaki M. ↑,
81', Jama O. 🟨,
81', Dahlfors O. ↓, Maliki S. ↑,
85', Lepola A. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 and 5)

Haka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

JäPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Haka is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Haka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35

Last Results with these Odds

JäPS - the odds 4.26 are the expected chance of winning is 21.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
29.05.26	Haka - JIPPO	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Haka	4:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
22.05.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:1 ✺
18.05.26	Haka - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	Espoon Palloseura - Haka	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTW
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
29.05.26	KaPa - JäPS	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	JäPS - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
22.05.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	JäPS - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	HIFK - JäPS	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
21.04.26	Haka - JäPS	5:0
Club Friendly
13.01.23	JäPS - Haka	3:3

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