Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	VPS Vaasa		Haka

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	4.05
	1.72	3.85	4.52
	1.93	3.46	3.66	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.4
	1.65	3.84	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.41)	3.64 ↓ (4.2)	4.3 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
53.2%

Draw
25.3%

Haka
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VPS Vaasa's form might have worsened.

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VPS Vaasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

VPS Vaasa - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Jalloh M. (G) 24. Daoussi Y. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 14. Lindholm S. 2. Mane L. 11. Muzinga J. 23. Niemi M. (C) 13. Ogunniyi O. 6. Okereke E. 34. Raisanen A. 30. Vahtera J.	12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 4. Auvinen E. 16. Laaksonen O. 11. Lanquedoc I. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 15. Syrjalainen M. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
26. Forsbacka R. 35. Keturi O. 33. Kuek A. 8. Lima P. 1. Piispa A. (G) 5. Ronnberg V. 15. Smyth L. 7. Turfkruier J.	8. Karlsson J. 44. Keto-Diyawa A. 23. Lehtinen T. 19. Martikainen N. 17. Pietsalo R. 5. Sovelius T. 2. Tiihonen A. 22. Traore D. 1. Ziprus J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Syrjalainen M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Muzinga J. ⚽,
33', Purosalo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', Lanquedoc I. ↓, Pietsalo R. ↑,
59', Silas C. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
59', Purosalo V. ↓, Keto-Diyawa A. ↑,
60', Muzinga J. ↓, Smyth L. ↑,
60', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
71', Nurmi K. 🟨,
73', Vahtera J. ↓, Keturi O. ↑,
73', Raisanen A. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
74', Laaksonen O. ↓, Tiihonen A. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Daoussi Y. ⚽,
80', Mahlamaki M. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
84', Daoussi Y. ↓, Kuek A. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Kuek A. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Lindholm S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, VPS is the clear favorite.

We predict that VPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, VPS won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.05.26	VPS Vaasa - HJK	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Åbo IFK	7:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWTW
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
22.05.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:1 ✺
18.05.26	Haka - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	Espoon Palloseura - Haka	0:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.05.26	Haka - Ekenäs	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.03.26	VPS Vaasa - Haka	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.09.25	VPS Vaasa - Haka	1:0
02.07.25	VPS Vaasa - Haka	1:2
31.05.25	Haka - VPS Vaasa	2:1
19.10.24	Haka - VPS Vaasa	2:3
18.08.24	VPS Vaasa - Haka	3:2
06.04.24	Haka - VPS Vaasa	1:2

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