Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Halcones		Jaguares de Chiapas

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.68
	4.1	3.5	1.74
	4.09	3.63	1.68
				Watch
	4.98	3.56	1.62	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.47)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halcones
20.9%

Draw
25.7%

Jaguares de Chiapas
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.6%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.4%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halcones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Halcones's form might have worsened.

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaguares de Chiapas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halcones than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halcones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaguares de Chiapas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Halcones - Jaguares de Chiapas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Salcido C. ⚽,
17', Quezada Contreras E. 🟥,
23', 1 - 1, Calderon K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Calderon K. (Pen),
74', 1 - 3, Orrantia E. ⚽,
75', 🟥,
87', Orrantia E. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Halcones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halcones FC Mexico
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.24	Halcones - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Halcones	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Halcones - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Irapuato - Halcones	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Halcones - Colima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLW
- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.11.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Lobos ULMX	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Zapotlanejo - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1 ✺
02.11.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Montañeses	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Deportivo Zitácuaro - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Halcones - Jaguares de Chiapas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide