Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Gavilanes de Matamoros		Halcones

	1	X	2
	2.29	2.97	3.01
	2.23	3.28	2.99
	2.25	3	3
	2.21	3.15	3.02
	2.49	3.21	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.49)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)	2.9 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gavilanes de Matamoros
39.6%

Draw
29.1%

Halcones
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Halcones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halcones than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Halcones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Munoz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Gavilanes Matamoros is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Halcones's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gavilanes Matamoros won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Gavilanes Matamoros won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Ciervos - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Lobos ULMX	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Real Apodaca	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Halcones FC Mexico
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Halcones - Lobos ULMX	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Real Apodaca - Halcones	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Halcones - Avispones de Chilpancingo	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Santiago - Halcones	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Halcones - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
24.10.25	Halcones - Gavilanes de Matamoros	4:3
14.03.25	Halcones - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0
02.11.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Halcones	1:1

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Halcones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide