Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Lobos ULMX

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.48	4	5.8
	1.47	4	6.22
	1.46	4.16	6.09	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.05	6.33	Watch
	1.48	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.77)	4.06 ↑ (3.5)	6 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
62.4%

Draw
22.4%

Lobos ULMX
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

22.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Chiapas's performance.

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos ULMX might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lobos ULMX could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jaguares de Chiapas - Lobos ULMX Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chiapas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Calderon K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Orrantia E. ⚽,
71', 🟥,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.11.24	Zapotlanejo - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1 ✺
02.11.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Montañeses	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Deportivo Zitácuaro - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:2 ✺
16.10.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLT
- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.11.24	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Halcones - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Zacatepec Siglo	1:4 ✺
16.10.24	Aguacateros de Peribán - Lobos ULMX	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLL

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