Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Halesowen Town		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.7
	1.82	3.85	3.5
	1.8	3.78	3.5
	2.24	2.99	3.39	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.66
	1.82	3.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.61 ↓ (3.74)	3.54 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
48.8%

Draw
25.3%

Leek Town
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

23.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

23.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Halesowen Town - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Halesowen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Halesowen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Halesowen has had a series of home games.

Halesowen could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English FA Cup
29.09.25	Aveley - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Halesowen Town - Aveley	0:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Halesowen Town - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Halesowen Town - Grimsby Borough	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWW
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Leek Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Leek Town - Hednesford Town	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cleethorpes Town - Leek Town	3:0 ✺
09.09.25	Hyde United - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Leek Town - Guiseley	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW

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